Pressure Mounts for RBA Rate Cuts Amid Election Concerns
Pressure Mounts for RBA Rate Cuts Amid Election Concerns
0
The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
As Australia approaches the upcoming federal election, scheduled for May 2025, recent polls suggest the possibility of a hung parliament.
Voters continue to express mounting concerns over the cost of living, as household disposable incomes fall to record lows.
The loudest cries for financial relief come from mortgage holders, who have been particularly affected.
Interestingly, several countries within the Anglosphere, including New Zealand, Canada, the United States, and the United Kingdom, have started easing their interest rates, highlighting Australia's distinct position in maintaining higher rates.
The Albanese government, facing an impending election, is urgently looking towards the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) for a potential interest rate cut that could sway voter sentiment. Treasurer Jim Chalmers highlighted a surprising aspect of the recent economic data, mentioning that inflation was now the lowest in four years and within the RBA's aim of 2% to 3%-a reflection not seen since 2021.
This proclamation seemed to challenge detractors and aimed criticism at the RBA. Yet, the observed drop in inflation was largely propelled by significant price reductions in electricity and petrol prices, with the former dropping by 17.3% and the latter by 6.7% on a quarterly basis.
Though these factors skewed the headline inflation rate, when refined, core inflation remained at 0.8% for the quarter and 3.5% year-on-year. This identified inflation persistence is supported by IFM Investors' Alex Joiner, offering a cautious view that slightly diverges from the surface figures.
Australia's core inflation signifies a broader overhead compared to other advanced economies. Moreover, the RBA insists on considering the core inflation metrics, disregarding headline readings distorted by government subsidies:
"With the trajectory of inflation aligning with the RBA's forecast, there seems minimal impetus to adjust their current stance," Alex Joiner elaborated, predicting stable interest rates through the end of the year.
While there's general anticipation of policy adjustments by February, Joiner remarks this consensus rests on ongoing disinflationary trends or clear signs of market and employment downturns: "February holds the consensus; however, the risk encroached by a potential interest rate cut might defer actions until closer to April or May, coinciding with the federal election."
As the date draws nearer, conjecture abounds about potential disputes between the government and the RBA. On the one hand, Treasurer Chalmers could assert that headline inflation meets the Reserve Bank Act's 2%-3% objective mandates, leveraging the trimmed mean as a differentiated reference.
On the other, the RBA could justify its measured approach by focusing on persistently high core inflation rates, which overshadow the headline numbers. The impending months leading to the election promise to be fraught with political and financial drama, with keen observers ready to analyze the implications of every fiscal statement.
Originally sourced from the background of evolving economic policies and political tensions, this narrative signifies an intriguing lead-up to election day. Hold tight, as the intricate dance between governmental aspirations and monetary policy unfolds before us.
Published:Thursday, 31st Oct 2024 Source: Paige Estritori
Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.
As the Australian summer approaches, the marine industry has witnessed a significant shift in consumer interest, with Sea-Doo emerging as the most-searched marine brand in the fourth quarter of 2025. According to Retain Media's Q4 2025 Marine Market Brand Consideration Report, Sea-Doo captured 11.2% of search queries, marking a substantial 51.4% increase from the previous quarter's 7.4%. - read more
In a significant development for maritime security, Starboard Maritime Intelligence, a New Zealand-based company specializing in artificial intelligence solutions for ocean protection, has successfully closed a NZ$23 million (approximately AU$20.6 million) Series A funding round. This oversubscribed round attracted substantial interest from Australian venture capital firms, underscoring the growing importance of advanced technologies in safeguarding maritime interests. - read more
In a landmark transaction within the marine industry, Singapore-based Cyan Renewables has acquired Australian offshore marine services provider MMA Offshore for AU$1.1 billion (approximately US$702 million). This acquisition represents the region's largest take-private deal in the offshore wind energy services sector, significantly enhancing Cyan's presence in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region. - read more
In 2025, Australian managed funds experienced a substantial increase of $35.9 billion, as reported by Calastone. This growth was primarily driven by investors seeking stability through fixed income strategies amidst global economic uncertainties. - read more
In a landmark decision, Australia has awarded a AU$10 billion (US$6.5 billion) contract to Japan's Mitsubishi Heavy Industries for the construction of 11 Mogami-class frigates. This agreement signifies the most substantial defense industry collaboration between the two nations to date. - read more
Jet skiing is a thrilling watersport that has become increasingly popular in recent years. If you’re thinking of purchasing a jet ski, you may be wondering how to finance your purchase. There are a few different ways to finance a jet ski, and the best option for you will depend on your individual circumstances. - read more
Jetskis are quickly becoming a popular pastime in Australia, offering an exhilarating way to enjoy the sun and surf. The freedom and excitement they provide make them a must-have for many water enthusiasts. With their growing popularity, more Australians are turning to jetskis as their next big purchase. - read more
If you’re looking to finance a new or used jet ski, you may be wondering if it’s possible to get a loan with bad credit. The short answer is yes – and it may be easier than you think, but there are a few things you need to know before you start the process of applying for a loan. - read more
Welcome to our deep dive into the unexpected costs of owning a jet ski. While the thrill of skimming across the water on a sunny day is undeniable, it's important to be aware of the hidden expenses that come with owning such a high-adrenaline watercraft. - read more
Welcome to the world of jet skiing - an exhilarating sport where the splash of water and the thrill of speed combine to offer an unforgettable experience. As a jet ski owner, you know that there's nothing quite like the freedom of gliding over the waves on a sunny day. But to keep the excitement alive, there's an essential aspect we must always remember: the importance of annual jet ski maintenance. - read more
Knowledgebase
Interest Rate Lock: An agreement between a borrower and a lender that allows the borrower to lock in the interest rate on a mortgage for a specified time period.
